Sports Prediction Analysis: Champions League and Domestic Matches on November 25, 2025

A packed Wednesday brought Champions League drama and competitive action across English and French domestic leagues. Multiple prediction markets—including 1X2, Over/Under, and Both Teams to Score—were put to the test. Below is a detailed match-by-match analysis across all prediction types, followed by a review of the most and least reliable prediction markets.


1X2 Predictions

Marseille vs. Newcastle Utd (Champions League)

Prediction: 12 (either team to win)
Final Result: 2-1
Outcome: Correct
Odds: 1.30

Both teams pushed for victory, resulting in no draw. This aligned with the prediction and reflected both teams’ attacking mindset in must-win group stages, where settling for a point is rarely an option.


Napoli vs. Qarabag (Champions League)

Prediction: 1 (Napoli win)
Final Result: 2-0
Outcome: Correct
Odds: 1.29

Napoli’s superior squad and home advantage led to a comfortable win, as expected. Qarabag failed to pose a substantial attacking threat, underlining Napoli's defensive solidity and dominance.


Luton Town vs. Huddersfield (England)

Prediction: 12 (either team to win)
Final Result: 2-1
Outcome: Correct
Odds: 1.30

Neither side played for the draw, both pushing for three points—common in the English league's mid-table clashes. Luton edged Huddersfield in a closely fought contest.


Hull City vs. Ipswich Town (England)

Prediction: 12 (either team to win)
Final Result: --:-- (Not played or result unavailable)
Outcome: Not measurable

The prediction cannot be evaluated as the game result was not reported.


Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Bastia vs. Laval (France)

Prediction: Under 2.5
Final Result: 0-2
Outcome: Correct
Odds: 1.50

Both teams struggled in attack, producing few clear chances, consistent with trend data for Ligue 2 sides. Defensive schemes held firm, validating the under.


B. Dortmund vs. Villarreal (Champions League)

Prediction: Over 2.5
Final Result: 4-0
Outcome: Correct
Odds: 1.67

Dortmund’s explosive attack overran a leaky Villarreal defense, with high pressing translating to multiple goals—a typical pattern for Dortmund at home in European nights.


Peterborough Utd vs. Stevenage (England)

Prediction: Under 2.5
Final Result: 0-1
Outcome: Correct
Odds: 1.65

Both sides prioritized defense, leading to a low-scoring encounter. Mid-table League One teams often play cautiously, which contributed to this result.


Swansea City vs. Derby County (England)

Prediction: Under 2.5
Final Result: 1-2
Outcome: Incorrect
Odds: 1.53

Three goals were scored, breaking the under. Swansea’s defensive lapses paired with Derby’s attacking surges produced more goals than anticipated, showing volatility often present in Championship fixtures.


Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions

Stoke City vs. Charlton (England)

Prediction: Under 3.5
Final Result: 3-0
Outcome: Correct
Odds: 1.29

Stoke controlled the match without running up the score. Their solid defense ensured Charlton did not contribute to the tally, keeping the total under.


Bastia vs. Laval (France)

Prediction: Under 3.5
Final Result: 0-2
Outcome: Correct
Odds: 1.17

A repeat inclusion for this fixture. The low goal count mirrored both teams’ conservative styles and ineffective attacks.


Napoli vs. Qarabag (Champions League)

Prediction: Under 3.5
Final Result: 2-0
Outcome: Correct
Odds: 1.57

Napoli took control early but did not overly press for extra goals, perhaps preserving energy for future games; Qarabag failed to test Napoli’s defense meaningfully.


Marseille vs. Newcastle Utd (Champions League)

Prediction: Under 3.5
Final Result: 2-1
Outcome: Correct
Odds: 1.40

An open match yielded goals but not enough to threaten the line, supporting the expected balance between attack and control in Champions League group play.


Over/Under 1.5 Goals Predictions

Roda Kerkrade vs. Dordrecht (Netherlands)

Prediction: Over 1.5
Final Result: 1-2
Outcome: Correct
Odds: 1.17

Both teams contributed to a lively encounter with three goals, typical of Eerste Divisie’s often open, attack-minded style.


Marseille vs. Newcastle Utd (Champions League)

Prediction: Over 1.5
Final Result: 2-1
Outcome: Correct
Odds: 1.25

The high stakes produced multiple goals, confirming the attacking ambitions of both teams.


Middlesbrough vs. Coventry City (England)

Prediction: Over 1.5
Final Result: 2-4
Outcome: Correct
Odds: 1.29

A goal fest with six scored highlighted both teams' offensive strengths and defensive vulnerabilities, supporting the over prediction.


Napoli vs. Qarabag (Champions League)

Prediction: Over 1.5
Final Result: 2-0
Outcome: Correct
Odds: 1.17

Napoli established the state of play early with two goals, never allowing Qarabag a route back.


Both Teams to Score Predictions

Hull City vs. Ipswich Town (England)

Prediction: Yes
Final Result: 0-2
Outcome: Incorrect
Odds: 1.73

Hull City failed to score at home, signaling attacking frailties against a robust Ipswich side. Ipswich’s defense held strong throughout.


Southampton vs. Leicester City (England)

Prediction: Yes
Final Result: 3-0
Outcome: Incorrect
Odds: 1.67

Only Southampton contributed to the scoresheet, as Leicester struggled to break down the opposition back line despite their attacking reputation.


Ajax vs. Benfica (Champions League)

Prediction: Yes
Final Result: 0-2
Outcome: Incorrect
Odds: 1.62

Ajax were shut out at home, which is rare for their potent attack. Benfica showcased surprising defensive strength.


Slavia Prague vs. Athletic Bilbao (Champions League)

Prediction: Yes
Final Result: 0-0
Outcome: Incorrect
Odds: 1.75

A stalemate defied predictions of open play; both clubs prioritized structure and left little space in attack, resulting in a goalless draw.


This matchday demonstrated that goal-based predictions—especially lower totals—benefit from team style analysis, while Both Teams to Score markets remain volatile and heavily sensitive to one-sided defensive efforts or attacking failures.