Sports Predictions Analysis Report

Sports Prediction Analysis: November 18, 2025

The day’s football and international fixtures featured a mix of domestic league games, major tournament qualifiers, and friendlies. The analysis centers on the 1X2 market predictions, evaluating performances, final results, and the outcome of each prediction, alongside insight into attacking and defensive patterns seen in the matches.

1X2 Predictions

Smorgon vs. Torpedo Zhodino (Belarus)

• Competition: Belarus
• Result: 0-4
• Prediction: Away Win (Torpedo Zhodino)
• Odds: 1.36
• Outcome: Correct

Analysis:
Torpedo Zhodino justified their favoritism with a dominant 0-4 victory away from home. The prediction's success stemmed from Zhodino’s clear attacking superiority; scoring four unanswered goals highlights both their offensive depth and Smorgon’s defensive vulnerabilities. The large margin reinforced the implied probability from the low odds, demonstrating the visitors' ability to convert chances and control the game throughout.

Sri Lanka vs. Thailand (Asian Cup)

• Competition: Asian Cup
• Result: 0-4
• Prediction: Away Win (Thailand)
• Odds: 1.38
• Outcome: Correct

Analysis:
Thailand delivered a decisive performance, winning 0-4 on the road, exactly in line with the prediction. The one-sided result indicates a significant difference in quality and execution between the teams. Thailand’s attacking strength overwhelmed the Sri Lankan defense, which failed to register a goal or contain the opposition’s offense. This result mirrored the reasoning behind the away win prediction, supported by Thailand’s regional strength and Sri Lanka’s recent struggles.

Austria vs. Bosnia&Herz. (World Championship)

• Competition: World Championship
• Result: 1-1
• Prediction: Home Win (Austria)
• Odds: 1.38
• Outcome: Incorrect

Analysis:
Austria were expected to leverage home advantage but only managed a 1-1 draw despite being strong favorites. The prediction fell short because Austria failed to capitalize on scoring opportunities or maintain defensive discipline. Bosnia & Herzegovina’s ability to find a goal exposed some defensive weaknesses in Austria’s setup. The match outcome suggests Austria's attack was blunted, and Bosnia put up more resistance than anticipated.

Brazil vs. Tunisia (National Friendly)

• Competition: National Friendly
• Result: (--:--)
• Prediction: Home Win (Brazil)
• Odds: 1.27
• Outcome: Pending

Analysis:
This prediction could not be assessed as the match result is currently unavailable. However, with Brazil’s home advantage and historic strength in friendlies, the prediction favored the hosts against Tunisia, reflecting expected disparities in squad quality and depth.

Patterns & Trends

• Prediction Accuracy: Among completed matches, the 1X2 predictions were correct in 2 out of 3 cases (67%). Both successful predictions were strong away favorites, and both yielded decisive multi-goal wins. The single miss came from a home favorite (Austria), highlighting some unpredictability even when statistical edge appears significant.
• Trends Identified:
• Dominant Wins Linked to Prediction Confidence: Both away teams with low odds thoroughly dominated weaker hosts, indicating market efficiency when predicting sizable quality gaps.
• Home Advantage Is Not Absolute: Austria’s draw underscores that home teams—even clear favorites—are not infallible and can be held by resilient opponents.
• Defensive Fragility as a Predictor: Smorgon and Sri Lanka, both defeated heavily at home, exhibited significant defensive weaknesses that aligned with prediction models favoring high-strength visitors.

No predictions were made in the over/under or both teams to score markets, limiting trend assessment to match result predictions. The data from this set suggests that strong favorites, especially away from home against weaker defenses, are reliable indicators in the 1X2 market.