Sports Prediction Analysis: Results and Trends from November 15, 2025
Introduction
A diverse set of matches across Italy, England, the Netherlands, and Spain provided an excellent case study for the accuracy and trends of several widely tracked football prediction markets. The outcomes spanned traditional result forecasts (1X2), total goals markets (over/under 1.5, 2.5, 3.5), and both teams to score. Performance and accuracy varied, offering insights into attacking strength, defensive vulnerabilities, and the relative reliability of each prediction market.
Match-by-Match Analysis
1X2 Predictions
Pineto vs Carpi
Competition: Italy
Final result: Pineto 1-0 Carpi
Prediction: 1X (home team win or draw)
Odds: 1.27
Outcome: Correct
Analysis: Pineto's single-goal victory validated the 1X prediction. The home side's ability to hold off Carpi for the win demonstrated defensive solidity and confirmed expectations of a favorable home performance.
MK Dons vs Salford City
Competition: England
Final result: MK Dons 2-0 Salford City
Prediction: 12 (either team to win; draw excluded)
Odds: 1.29
Outcome: Correct
Analysis: MK Dons' clean sheet and decisive win meant the match never threatened a draw—favoring the '12' prediction. Strong attacking pace from MK Dons resulted in a comfortable margin.
Hartlepool Utd vs Wealdstone
Competition: England
Final result: Hartlepool Utd 1-1 Wealdstone
Prediction: 1X (home team win or draw)
Odds: 1.30
Outcome: Correct
Analysis: Hartlepool's capacity to avoid defeat, even without winning, fit the prediction. Limited attacking output on both sides characterized the draw.
Forest Green R. vs Gateshead
Competition: England
Final result: Forest Green R. 3-1 Gateshead
Prediction: 1 (home team win)
Odds: 1.33
Outcome: Correct
Analysis: Forest Green's strong attacking display and defensive effectiveness comfortably justified a home win prediction.
Over/Under 2.5 Predictions
Rimini vs Ascoli
Competition: Italy
Final result: Rimini 0-2 Ascoli
Prediction: Under 2.5
Odds: 1.63
Outcome: Correct
Analysis: Defensive discipline and inefficient finishing from both sides ensured a low-scoring game, supporting the under 2.5 goals prediction.
Atl. Sanluqueno vs Ibiza
Competition: Spain
Final result: Atl. Sanluqueno 0-0 Ibiza
Prediction: Under 2.5
Odds: 1.53
Outcome: Correct
Analysis: A goal-less stalemate highlighted blunt attacks and strong defenses, perfectly aligning with the under 2.5 forecast.
Willem II vs Emmen
Competition: Netherlands
Final result: Willem II 1-1 Emmen
Prediction: Over 2.5
Odds: 1.50
Outcome: Incorrect
Analysis: Only two goals were scored, indicating conservative play and missed opportunities. The prediction overestimated attacking efficiency.
Vis Pesaro 1898 vs Guidonia
Competition: Italy
Final result: Vis Pesaro 1898 2-1 Guidonia
Prediction: Under 2.5
Odds: 1.58
Outcome: Incorrect
Analysis: Three total goals, in a match that saw both defenses exposed, rendered the under prediction unsuccessful.
Over/Under 3.5 Predictions
Bromley vs Barrow
Competition: England
Final result: Bromley 2-1 Barrow
Prediction: Und 3.5
Odds: 1.33
Outcome: Correct
Analysis: Both teams scored but stayed well below the 3.5 boundary, reinforcing the low-scoring expectation.
Fleetwood Town vs Swindon Town
Competition: England
Final result: Fleetwood Town 1-1 Swindon Town
Prediction: Und 3.5
Odds: 1.36
Outcome: Correct
Analysis: Minimal offensive output and defensive focus from both teams kept the total goals far below 3.5.
Notts County vs Harrogate Town
Competition: England
Final result: Notts County 1-1 Harrogate Town
Prediction: Und 3.5
Odds: 1.40
Outcome: Correct
Analysis: Defensive play dominated, with attacks limited to single goals per side.
Solihull Moors vs Scunthorpe Utd
Competition: England
Final result: Solihull Moors 3-0 Scunthorpe Utd
Prediction: Und 3.5
Odds: 1.40
Outcome: Correct
Analysis: A solid offensive showing by Solihull but not enough to break the 3.5 total, underscoring Scunthorpe's defensive struggles.
Over/Under 1.5 Predictions
Luton Town vs Rotherham Utd
No final result yet; prediction pending update.
Fleetwood Town vs Swindon Town
No final result yet; prediction pending update.
Lincoln City vs Doncaster Rovers
No final result yet; prediction pending update.
Dorking vs Eastbourne Borough
No final result yet; prediction pending update.
Both Teams to Score (Goal Goal) Predictions
Boreham Wood vs Tamworth
Competition: England
Final result: Boreham Wood 1-2 Tamworth
Prediction: BTS ("both teams to score")
Odds: 1.80
Outcome: Correct
Analysis: High attacking intent from both clubs led to successful scoring and confirmed mutual offensive strengths.
York City vs Morecambe
Competition: England
Final result: York City 4-2 Morecambe
Prediction: BTS
Odds: 1.62
Outcome: Correct
Analysis: Six-goal thriller reflected poor defending, especially for Morecambe, and strong attacking play on both sides.
Bromley vs Barrow
Competition: England
Final result: Bromley 2-1 Barrow
Prediction: BTS
Odds: 1.83
Outcome: Correct
Analysis: Both teams found the net, indicating defensive lapses and dynamic forward lines.
Albacete vs FC Andorra
Competition: Spain
Final result: Albacete 1-0 FC Andorra
Prediction: BTS
Odds: 1.62
Outcome: Incorrect
Analysis: Only the home side scored. FC Andorra's attacking weakness or Albacete's defensive discipline led this prediction to fail.
Patterns & Trends
High accuracy in 1X2 predictions: All analyzed matches yielded correct predictions, underscoring the reliability of main result forecasts, particularly where the home team displayed solid defense or attacking advantage.
Over/Under 2.5 market: Mixed results (2/4 correct). Under predictions succeeded where defenses dominated, while one over forecast failed due to lack of attacking cohesion.
Over/Under 3.5 market: All predictions were correct, highlighting the prevalent trend of relatively low scoring in these select matches.
Both Teams to Score predictions: 3/4 correct, often aligning with matches displaying considerable defensive frailty or aggressive attacking setups.
Pending Outcomes: All over/under 1.5 predictions were awaiting final results.
Key trends:
- Defensive Strength played a major role in low goal totals (under 2.5, under 3.5).
- Attacking Strength and open play contributed to BTS predictions succeeding in most cases.
- Low scoring matches were more frequent, raising the success rate for "under" total goals predictions.
- Draws and home wins were consistently predicted and delivered in the 1X2 category, indicating strong model alignment for these outcomes.
These results can help refine future models by emphasizing defensive assessment for "under" predictions, and recognizing draw-risk and home advantage in 1X2 markets.