Matchday Prediction Analysis: October 26, 2025

The day’s football fixtures provided a robust sample for evaluating prediction accuracy across several markets, including standard results, total goals, and whether both teams would score. Tight defenses, limited attacking success, and a few surprising results featured in a slate where predictions performed strongly in most categories.


1X2 Predictions

Arsenal vs Crystal Palace

Competition: Premier League (England)
Final Result: Arsenal 1–0 Crystal Palace
Prediction: Arsenal Win (1) | Odds: 1.40 | Correct: Yes

A single goal from Eberechi Eze secured the win for Arsenal in a tightly contested match at Emirates Stadium[1][2][3]. The prediction was accurate thanks to Arsenal’s defensive solidity—they have now kept five consecutive clean sheets—and Crystal Palace's inability to register a single shot on target against a top-tier defense. Arsenal’s recent attacking strength also ensured they created enough to edge ahead[1][3].


Duisburg vs Rot-Weiss Essen

Competition: 3. Liga (Germany)
Final Result: Duisburg 1–1 Rot-Weiss Essen
Prediction: Duisburg or Draw (1X) | Odds: 1.33 | Correct: Yes

The match ended in a 1-1 draw, validating the prediction focused on Duisburg avoiding defeat. Both teams displayed moderate attacking output, but neither had enough superiority to claim all three points, fitting well with the safe double-chance prediction.


Bari vs Mantova

Competition: Serie B (Italy)
Final Result: Bari 1–0 Mantova
Prediction: Bari or Draw (1X) | Odds: 1.29 | Correct: Yes

A narrow home win for Bari reaffirmed the prediction’s solidity. Low-scoring victories often suit “1X” predictions when the home side carries tactical discipline and defensive strength, as demonstrated here.


Lommel vs Beerschot

Competition: Belgian First Division B
Final Result: Lommel 1–2 Beerschot
Prediction: Beerschot or Draw (X2) | Odds: 1.40 | Correct: Yes

Beerschot’s away victory cemented the prediction’s success. The visitors’ attacking edge overcame Lommel, highlighting their capability to perform well on the road and exploit opposition weaknesses.


Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves

Competition: La Liga (Spain)
Final Result: Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Alaves
Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals | Odds: 1.50 | Correct: Yes

A single goal match confirmed the low-scoring expectations for this fixture. Both teams are traditionally more defensively structured, and this tendency was once again evident.


Sevilla B vs Hercules

Competition: Primera DivisiĂłn RFEF Group 2 (Spain)
Final Result: Sevilla B 2–0 Hercules
Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals | Odds: 1.50 | Correct: Yes

The final tally stayed just below the 2.5 mark, validating the prediction. Strong defensive organization from both sides contributed to a match with few clear-cut chances.


Giana Erminio vs Alcione Milano

Competition: Serie C Group A (Italy)
Final Result: Giana Erminio 1–1 Alcione Milano
Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals | Odds: 1.44 | Correct: Yes

With only two goals scored, the prediction succeeded. Both clubs lack high-powered offenses, leading to a contest as close as anticipated.


Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior

Competition: Eredivisie (Netherlands)
Final Result: Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 Excelsior
Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals | Odds: 1.53 | Correct: No

Despite both teams showing attacking intent in pre-match analysis, the two goals scored fell short of the three required. An inability to convert chances, especially by Excelsior, was a key factor in the prediction falling short.


Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions

E. Braunschweig vs Hannover 96

Competition: 2. Bundesliga (Germany)
Final Result: E. Braunschweig 0–3 Hannover 96
Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals | Odds: 1.50 | Correct: Yes

A three-goal match stayed under the 3.5 threshold. Despite Hannover’s clear superiority, Braunschweig’s inability to contribute kept the goal tally limited.


Dep. La Coruna vs Valladolid

Competition: Segunda DivisiĂłn (Spain)
Final Result: Dep. La Coruna 1–1 Valladolid
Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals | Odds: 1.29 | Correct: Yes

A balanced match between two well-matched teams, with few goals and little risk of the threshold being exceeded.


Mallorca vs Levante

Competition: La Liga (Spain)
Final Result: Mallorca 1–1 Levante
Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals | Odds: 1.25 | Correct: Yes

A classic tight fixture in Spain’s top flight, low on attacking fireworks but high on tactical balance, easily staying under 3.5 goals.


Duisburg vs Rot-Weiss Essen

Competition: 3. Liga (Germany)
Final Result: Duisburg 1–1 Rot-Weiss Essen
Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals | Odds: 1.36 | Correct: Yes

Repeated defensive patterns from Duisburg and an evenly matched opponent kept the total low, demonstrating the continued relevance of under predictions in lower-scoring leagues.


Over/Under 1.5 Goals Predictions

Estoril Praia vs Nacional Madeira

SC Braga vs Casa Pia

Ascoli vs Sambenedettese

Arsenal vs Crystal Palace

All these matches are either unplayed or scoreless at this point, so prediction accuracy cannot yet be evaluated. Once completed, trends may emerge, particularly in leagues prone to either open attacking play or defensive solidity.


Both Teams to Score Predictions

Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior

Kaiserslautern vs Nurnberg

Hoffenheim II vs Erzgebirge Aue

Bari vs Mantova

With outcomes pending, further data is needed to assess accuracy or draw conclusions about scoring trends and defensive vulnerabilities in these matches.


Overall, predictions tied to defensive trends and close tactical contests performed best, while higher-scoring expectations fared worse in fixtures lacking attacking edge. This underscores the importance of current team form and style—especially defensive strength—in outcome forecasting.