Sports Prediction Analysis: Match Results, Accuracy, and Market Trends

Introduction
A full slate of football fixtures across Europe and beyond produced a range of intriguing outcomes for key prediction markets. We analyzed the performance of 1X2, Over/Under (1.5, 2.5, 3.5), and Both Teams to Score (BTS) markets, summarizing results, prediction accuracy, and underlying trends.


1X2 Predictions

Accrington vs. Walsall

Walsall’s emphatic away win validated the prediction, with Accrington struggling defensively and conceding three goals. The odds reflected Walsall’s status as a slight favorite for avoiding defeat, and their dominant attacking output delivered[1].

Tranmere Rovers vs. Cambridge Utd

A goalless stalemate secured the draw component of the X2, demonstrating strong defensive discipline from both teams but limited attacking threat[1].

Grimsby Town vs. Cheltenham Town

Grimsby Town overwhelmed Cheltenham Town with a seven-goal performance, showcasing outstanding attacking prowess. The result confirms the prediction and highlights Cheltenham’s defensive frailty[1].

Truro City vs. Morecambe

Truro City delivered a clean sheet and a five-goal cushion, far exceeding the predicted requirement (not to lose). Morecambe’s defense offered little resistance[1].


Over/Under 2.5 Predictions

Ajax vs. NAC Breda

A combined three goals by the hour mark reflected Ajax’s consistent high-scoring trends at home[2].

Karlsruher vs. Magdeburg

Despite attacking potential, both teams faltered in the final third, with only one goal scored. Defensive organization and poor finishing led to a missed prediction[2].

Bra vs. Guidonia

Late or frequent scoring pushed the total over the under threshold. Both clubs capitalized on porous defenses, producing a surprise goal-laden match[2].

Al-Fateh vs. Al-Qadsiah

Defensive rigidity and conservative play led to a solitary goal, with neither side able to unlock the opposition regularly[2].


Over/Under 3.5 Predictions

Carlisle Utd vs. Rochdale

A defensively controlled match with minimal attacking output; neither side looked likely to push the total beyond three[3].

Kortrijk vs. Eupen

A low-scoring game with few clear chances, indicative of strong defensive structures and lack of offensive firepower[3].

Southampton vs. Middlesbrough

Both sides matched each other in midfield, resulting in a tight contest and few goals[3].

Elversberg vs. Holstein Kiel

Strong defensive performances from both teams kept scoring limited, comfortably below the cut-off[3].


Over/Under 1.5 Predictions

Mansfield Town vs. Rotherham Utd

The match met expectations for scoring, as both teams found the net[4].

Arezzo vs. Carpi

Offensive opportunities were taken, with Arezzo in particular showing attacking intent[4].

Sheffield Wed vs. QPR

Both teams scored early, validating the prediction in a balanced encounter[4].

Exeter City vs. Huddersfield

Missed chances and solid defending resulted in a solitary goal, falling short of expectations[4].


Both Teams to Score (BTS) Predictions

Chelsea vs. Brighton

Both teams displayed attacking quality, exposing defensive lapses to score. Brighton’s away performance stood out[5].

Duisburg vs. Ingolstadt

Open play and defensive gaps led to goals for both sides, consistent with the prediction[5].

Halifax Town vs. Aldershot Town

A high-scoring affair with both attacks thriving, highlighting weakness at the back for both teams[5].

Erzgebirge Aue vs. Munchen 1860

Munchen 1860 failed to contribute to the score despite chances, with Aue keeping a rare clean sheet[5].


Overall, predictions performed best when historical attacking or defensive performance was reliably reflected in the fixture, while upsets generally resulted from outlier low or high scoring games.