Sports Prediction Analysis: Performance Review of Key Football Markets

Introduction

This analysis covers a series of football matches held on September 20, 2025, with predictions spanning 1x2 outcomes, goal totals (over/under 1.5, 2.5, 3.5), and both teams to score. The review summarizes actual results versus predicted outcomes, highlighting key factors influencing each match and drawing overall patterns in predictive success.

---

Match-by-Match Analysis

1X2 Predictions

Helsingborg vs Orgryte

• Competition: Sweden
• Final Result: 0-1
• Prediction: X2 (Draw or Orgryte win)
• Odds: 1.44
• Correct: Yes

Orgryte’s away win validated the X2 prediction, driven by Helsingborg's attacking inefficiency and Orgryte's organized defensive display.

Dewa United vs PSBS Biak

• Competition: Indonesia
• Final Result: 3-1
• Prediction: 1 (Dewa United win)
• Odds: 1.34
• Correct: Yes

Dewa United exploited defensive gaps in PSBS Biak, comfortably securing victory. Their strong attacking form aligned with the prediction.

Liverpool vs Everton

• Competition: England
• Final Result: --:--
• Prediction: 1 (Liverpool win)
• Odds: 1.45
• Correct: Pending

No result available yet; analysis pending.

Os Belenenses vs Maritimo

• Competition: Portugal
• Final Result: 2-0
• Prediction: X2 (Draw or Maritimo win)
• Odds: 1.33
• Correct: No

Belenenses overpowered Maritimo, whose defense struggled. The predictive miss may reflect an underestimated home advantage and defensive weaknesses on Maritimo’s side.

---

Over/Under 2.5 Predictions

Sotra SK vs Pors Grenland

• Competition: Norway
• Final Result: 5-0
• Prediction: Over 2.5
• Odds: 1.41
• Correct: Yes

Sotra SK’s dominance and prolific goal scoring easily surpassed the three-goal threshold.

Qingdao Hainiu vs Shandong Taishan

• Competition: China
• Final Result: 2-2
• Prediction: Over 2.5
• Odds: 1.53
• Correct: Yes

Both sides contributed offensively, combining for four goals and confirming the prediction’s accuracy.

Nkwazi vs Konkola Blades

• Competition: Zambia
• Final Result: 0-1
• Prediction: Under 2.5
• Odds: 1.34
• Correct: Yes

A low-scoring match with defensive control and limited attacking output supported the under 2.5 forecast.

Torres vs Ternana

• Competition: Italy
• Final Result: 1-1
• Prediction: Under 2.5
• Odds: 1.55
• Correct: Yes

Evenly matched defenses restricted goal opportunities, validating the prediction.

---

Over/Under 3.5 Predictions

Crusaders vs Ballymena Utd

• Competition: Northern Ireland
• Final Result: 1-1
• Prediction: Under 3.5
• Odds: 1.34
• Correct: Yes

Limited attacking threat from both sides led to a low score, matching expectations.

Reading vs Leyton Orient

• Competition: England
• Final Result: 2-1
• Prediction: Under 3.5
• Odds: 1.33
• Correct: Yes

With three goals total, the game remained just under the threshold.

CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Pd

• Competition: Bulgaria
• Final Result: 4-0
• Prediction: Under 3.5
• Odds: 1.36
• Correct: No

CSKA 1948's potent attack was underestimated, scoring four and surpassing the prediction limit.

Brest vs Nice

• Competition: France
• Final Result: 4-1
• Prediction: Under 3.5
• Odds: 1.44
• Correct: No

Both teams’ attacking strengths led to an unexpectedly high-scoring match.

---

Over/Under 1.5 Predictions

CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Pd

• Competition: Bulgaria
• Final Result: 4-0
• Prediction: Over 1.5
• Odds: 1.25
• Correct: Yes

Attacking dominance drove the score beyond the threshold.

Cardiff City vs Bradford City

• Competition: England
• Final Result: 1-3
• Prediction: Over 1.5
• Odds: 1.25
• Correct: Yes

Bradford City's aggressive play and defensive gaps ensured plenty of goals.

Stranraer vs Elgin City

• Competition: Scotland
• Final Result: 1-1
• Prediction: Over 1.5
• Odds: 1.25
• Correct: Yes

Both teams managed to score, reflecting their attacking intent.

Ha Noi FC vs Viettel

• Competition: Vietnam
• Final Result: 1-1
• Prediction: Over 1.5
• Odds: 1.27
• Correct: Yes

Early goals set the tone and kept the prediction on track.

---

Both Teams to Score Predictions

Caernarfon Town vs Pen-y-Bont

• Competition: Wales
• Final Result: 1-2
• Prediction: BTS
• Odds: 1.52
• Correct: Yes

Open play and fragile defenses enabled both teams to find the net.

Levanger vs Stjordals Blink

• Competition: Norway
• Final Result: 4-2
• Prediction: BTS
• Odds: 1.40
• Correct: Yes

Both teams showed attacking power and defensive lapses.

Hoffenheim vs Bayern Munchen

• Competition: Germany
• Final Result: 1-4
• Prediction: BTS
• Odds: 1.53
• Correct: Yes

Despite Bayern's control, Hoffenheim breached their defense, sustaining the prediction’s logic.

Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool Utd

• Competition: England
• Final Result: 1-0
• Prediction: BTS
• Odds: 1.50
• Correct: No

Hartlepool’s attack faltered, failing to score and breaking the BTS trend.

---

Patterns & Trends

• Prediction Accuracy: Over/Under 2.5 and 1.5 markets showed high reliability, reflecting accurate assessments of team attacking/defensive strengths.
• 1x2 Predictions: Successful in 2/3 completed matches; failures related to underestimated home performance.
• Both Teams to Score: Accurately predicted in matches featuring open styles and defensive vulnerabilities, except where one side’s attack was absent.
• Over/Under 3.5: Less consistent, with two notable misses due to unexpected attacking surges.

Trends observed: - Matches featuring teams with known attacking strength or defensive frailty were most predictable for goal-focused markets. - Defensive weaknesses were critical in games with higher than expected goal totals or successful BTS calls. - Predictive errors typically occurred when teams radically outperformed recent attacking or defensive form.

The day highlighted successful forecasting, especially for moderate goal thresholds, while high-scoring anomalies and underestimated home advantage remain key areas for future adjustment.